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CNBC’s Guide to
Creating Wealth
John Wiley and Sons, 2001
"Prosperity is the
fruit of labor. It begins with saving money."-Abraham Lincoln
Chapter One
Understanding Wall Street
Making money on Wall
Street isn’t as hard as you might think.
Robert Heller, author of The
Age of the Common Millionaire and a millionaire himself, thanks to
investments in the London real estate market, once said: "People who
think making a million is difficult haven’t tried."
These days, many
investors are making money in the financial markets. In fact, the rapidly
growing importance of individual investors along with the
evolution of technology was one of the most remarkable
developments in the world’s financial markets during the twentieth
century. For most of the century, individual investors were at the back of
the line in Wall Street’s pecking order, well distanced from the
powerful institutional investors who controlled the financial markets.
Banks, insurance companies, pension funds, and other institutional
powerhouses controlled the bulk of the money. They traded heavily, and
they earned the undivided attention of brokers and other financial
services providers.
Not too long ago,
middle-income people rarely participated in the stock market. Their
retirement savings were usually handled through their employer’s pension
fund, Social Security was regarded as a future financial
"cushion," and savvy workers made regular deposits into
"rainy day" savings accounts at banks. Investments in capital
markets were largely limited to the wealthiest earners or inheritors. But several major developments led to a dramatic increase in
the proportion of the population that became participants in the stock
market: (1) savers became investors; (2) mutual funds grew and blossomed;
(3) Social Security began to look shaky and (4)
the rise of the Information Age Let’s examine these happenings
in more detail.
1. From Spenders to
Savers. Fueled in
part by the stock market’s double-digit returns-approximately 22 percent
in the 1990s-America, once a nation of savers, is being transformed into a
nation of investors. In 1940, there were fewer than 80 funds and their
assets totaled $50 million. Twenty years later, there were 160 funds and
$17 billion in assets. As the twentieth century ended, asset expansion in
the mutual fund industry during two calendar years was greater than the
industry’s total size in 1990.
2. Fund Frenzy.
Much of the expansion of the mutual fund industry has been fueled by the
rapid growth of assets held in retirement-designated accounts. At the
industry’s origins back in 1970, mutual funds held total assets of about
$50 billion worldwide. Today, the biggest mutual fund alone-Fidelity
Magellan-boasts assets of more than twice that amount, and the industry as
a whole is swarming with 7,000 funds holding some $3 trillion in investor
assets.
In addition, the mutual
fund industry has benefited from employers’ shift away from defined
benefit plans to defined contribution plans, like 401(k) plans. Defined
benefit plans saddled employers with greater costs of administration,
required current funding, higher future liabilities, and extensive
administrative requirements. The result has been a move toward defined
contribution plans, which provide employees with more control over their
retirement plans by allowing them to choose where their retirement money
is to be invested.
3. Social Security Woes.
Analysts differ as to the exact date, but many agree that Social Security,
as it is currently structured, will be exhausted sometime in the
twenty-first century, just as the Baby Boomers are retiring in
full force. Realizing that Social Security will not be the safety
net it once was, Americans are taking financial matters into their own
hands by participating in the growth of the capital markets.
The end result? A
revolution in individual investing. After nearly two decades of relentless
buying, more than half of all U.S. households own stocks either directly
or through mutual funds. Those holdings are worth roughly $10 trillion,
compared to about $5 billion in 1929, $940 billion in 1980, and $2.3
trillion in 1999, according to the U.S. Census Bureau.
Toss into the mix a big
reduction in trading costs-discount brokerages like Charles Schwab have
slashed such costs by as much as 80 percent in recent years-and you begin
to see why individual investors’ interest in particular stocks and in
Wall Street in general can be expected to spike even higher.
Changing the Way We Look
at Wall Street
There’s little question
that we are more sensitive to change today because of the speed with which
we receive information. In 1805, word of British Admiral Horatio Nelson’s
victory at Trafalgar did not reach North America until six weeks later.
Now, any news, in any remote area, can be transmitted around the world in
seconds.
The media and the speed
with which investors are gathering investment information today are
changing as well. Many people still subscribe to newsletters, brokerage
reports, and The Wall Street Journal. But many more are replacing
paper-based investment information sources with electronic ones-most
notably, television and the World Wide Web. Circulation of The Wall
Street Journal has fallen since 1995; CNBC’s viewers have tripled
since 1995 in 2000. And millions of investors are also flocking to
investment industry Web sites like CNBC.com and TheStreet.com.
Today’s financial
junkies can gorge all day on financial news. Up-to-the-minute televised
market coverage is carried live by CNBC, and online news services and chat
rooms-the Motley Fool, TheStreet.com, Microsoft Investor, SmartMoney
Interactive, and dozens of others-can be visited on the Web. Personal
finance magazines such as Money, SmartMoney, Worth, Bloomberg Personal
Finance, Mutual Funds, Kiplinger’s Personal Finance, Individual
Investor, jam the newsstands and many offer their own online services.
Even general-interest
business publications and, increasingly, mainstream media have embraced
personal finance. TIME and Newsweek now offer regular
investment and personal finance columns, and stock quotes are so
commonplace they can be found on Playboy’s Web site.
The Web continues to
change the face of investing. Investors turn to it to guide them through
the uncertainties of a volatile stock market. Five years ago, a 2 percent
one-day swing-in either direction-in the Standard & Poor’s 500 was
rare. Today, whether they are reacting to a speech by a Federal Reserve
official or a bump in the price of pork belly futures, investors tune into
CNBC as soon as possible to see how the world markets are reacting.
To keep up with a stock
market that seems to move with the speed of a supernova, many investors
are turning to the real-time, software-based information tools that are
available on the Internet. Just a few years ago, most investors had to go
to a library and leaf through yellowed copies of The Wall Street
Journal or The Economist to figure out whether it was a good
time to buy or sell their stocks. Today, an astounding number of sources
on the Internet give much better information and deliver it ten times
faster.
The immediacy of
electronic delivery channels meets the needs of today’s time-strapped
investment consumers. Television and the Internet have helped fuel that
trend by removing some of the mystery that had surrounded the stock
market. Anyone with a remote control or a Web browser now has access to
the kind of information that used to be available only to big firms. Not
everyone may want to check basis-point disparities in Portuguese
debentures at 1:00 A.M. in their pajamas, but you can if you want to.
What the Professionals
Know-and You Probably Don’t
Individual investors have
made great strides in recent years but, for many nonprofessionals, the
stock market remains an impenetrable maze of confusing numbers. Lawmakers,
the Federal Reserve, market analysts, and professional economists seem to
talk in a foreign language. Just what is a "J-curve"? What are
"monetary aggregates," and why are fixed-income (bond) managers
constantly stumbling over "yield curves"?
Some Wall Street veterans
would rather keep all the good financial information to themselves. Access
to analysts’ reports, fund managers’ commentary, road shows, and long
lunch meetings are traditional birthrights to Wall Street pros. Their
inside access to what’s really happening in the business world gives
them a huge advantage over the rest of us. Key information allows them to
pop out of dicey positions or pop into lucrative ones long before
individual investors see any changes in the market.
Wall Street insiders also
keep getting better access to lucrative deals. According to some investor
advocates, Wall Street’s secret lists, known as "pot lists,"
confirm that the largest institutional investors are reaping the profits
from hot initial public offerings (IPOs), leaving few opportunities for
individual investors to participate. Companies like Fidelity Investments,
the nation’s largest mutual fund management firm, routinely receive
double the allocation given to the next largest institutional investor,
and more than the average mom-and-pop investment account.
This may sound unfair;
the truth often does. In the hurly-burly financial markets, volume is king
and timely information is its handmaiden. Holding the winning cards is
what Wall Street is all about.
Wall Street has made many
advancements during the past ten years but, given the opportunities and
resources currently available, so have individual investors. Gaining the
upper hand and creating wealth on Wall Street is a lot easier than you
think.
This book shows you how.
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